What happened: Store 14 hot bar shrink hit 4.1% Tuesday—third consecutive day above the 3.2% chain target, concentrated on mac & cheese and rotisserie chicken.
Why: Lunch sell-through peaked 11% below forecast; historical data shows shrink spikes when hot bar replenishment runs 20+ minutes late during the 11:30 window.
Recommended action: Shift mac & cheese batch pull 15 minutes earlier Wed–Fri; add mid-rush replenishment check to hot bar CCP log.
Expected impact: Reduce dept shrink to chain target; protect Saturday rotisserie forecast accuracy.